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Farm Credit Canada economists say tight 2025-26 crop margins are likely to tighten further because of trade instability. They estimate Western canola and wheat returns at $50 to $75 per acre, with canola losing $25 per acre if prices fall 15%.
Canola futures fell more than 10% after China announced its tariffs before rebounding.
Thin margins and price downside risk could shift canola and wheat acreage in Western Canada, changing 2025 supply. Canola futures have already shown sharp sensitivity to tariff headlines.
agcanada.comAGCanada2025年4月11日历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 206 次中性的贸易事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%（53% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +1.6%），20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
