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Glacier FarmMedia's John Morriss argues that Chinese tariffs on Canadian canola oil and meal may have limited effect on seed prices. He cites trade data showing China took only 0.4% of 2024 oil exports, while seed exports to China are running well ahead of last year.
If China's tariff impact is confined to crush products while seed buying stays strong, canola seed prices may hold up better than feared. Meal imports by China are already front-loaded, which could reduce future meal demand.
producer.comGlacier FarmMedia, John Morriss2025年4月9日历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 224 次中性的贸易事件之后，豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%（43% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.2%），20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
