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France's farm ministry raised its winter soft wheat area estimate to 4.61 million hectares from 4.57 million, with total soft wheat area at 4.63 million hectares, up 10% from the rain-hit 2024 harvest. Durum wheat area is expected to fall 7% to its lowest in over 30 years, and rapeseed area was raised to 1.29 million hectares.
A larger French soft wheat area points to higher EU supply for 2025/26, which is mildly bearish for wheat prices, while the durum decline is supportive for durum markets.
在过去 1,006 次看跌的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 40 次中性的报告事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.9%(38% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.1% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。