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UOB's May 2025 exchange rate strategy report forecasts the US dollar will keep weakening, with the DXY falling to 96.9 by Q1 2026. It expects EUR/USD to reach 1.17 and the dong to face downward pressure from Vietnam-US trade developments.
The bank also sees the yen appreciating toward 140 per dollar.
A forecast of persistent dollar weakness supports dollar-priced commodity demand from importers, though the dong outlook points to higher local feed import costs for Vietnam. The forecast is a view rather than a new shock.
在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。