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RaboResearch reports that pork prices have rebounded on tighter hog supplies from limited sow herd growth and health challenges. Trade flows are shifting as the EU and Latin America gain share amid US-China tensions.
The 90-day US-China tariff reduction may not fully offset added tariffs on US pork.
Tight hog supply supports pork and hog prices, while lost Chinese share of US pork may weigh on export-linked demand and expansion. Slower US sector investment limits longer-term feed demand growth.
porkcheckoff.org2025年5月5日在过去 85 次看涨的贸易事件之后，生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.8%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 +4.5%），20 个交易日内为 +4.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Tighter US hog supplies from limited sow herd growth and health challenges are supportive for hog prices, and the report came just before the move.
Pork outlook notes tighter hog supplies and US-China tariff reduction, a supply and trade-flow narrative that could support lean hog prices, though dated a week before the move.
