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A Chinese policy blog reports Beijing's April implementation plan targets a 7% cut in feed use per kilogram of animal product by 2030 and caps soymeal at 10% of feed. March soybean imports fell 36.8% year on year to a 17-year low, with Q1 grain imports down 40.8%.
Sharply weaker Chinese import demand and a formal soymeal cap are bearish for soybeans and soymeal, pressuring export prices from Brazil and the US. Alternative feed ingredients such as by-products could also reduce demand for corn and meal.
在过去 369 次看跌的政策事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(46% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
在过去 223 次看跌的政策事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(45% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 -0.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。