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Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada's June 20 outlook shows over half of Canadian farmland began the season under drought, with hot, dry conditions in Alberta and Saskatchewan. Excess rain in Eastern Canada delayed planting and affected canola standability.
Overall 2025-26 production is expected to slip slightly, with spring wheat stable and lentil demand hurt by Chinese tariffs.
Western drought and wet conditions in the East add supply risk for canola and wheat. Weak lentil demand from China raises carry-out stocks and adds bearish pressure.
在过去 224 次中性的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(46% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。