
Corn closed slightly higher after the June WASDE trimmed U.S. old-crop corn stocks, while soybeans fell on a rumor that EPA would set biomass-based diesel volumes at only 4.65 billion gallons. USDA left South American crop estimates unchanged even as CONAB raised its Brazil corn forecast.
Soybean weakness on the biofuel rumor signals that a low RVO would cut soybean oil demand and crush margins, which lowers meal output and pressures soybean meal prices. Corn strength reflects the tighter U.S. carryout.
在过去 1,040 次看涨的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
在过去 788 次看跌的报告事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 -0.9%。
在过去 146 次看跌的报告事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.0%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
On June 12 a rumor that EPA would set biomass-based diesel volumes at only 4.65 billion gallons drove soybean-complex sentiment, and the market's sharp reaction to biofuel policy headlines is the plausible mechanism behind the 2.58% move that day.