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Urea supply remains disrupted after the Middle East conflict began on 13 June, with Egyptian plants running at 50-60% capacity and Iranian production halted. Oman's SIUCI sold August cargoes at USD495-525/tonne FOB, and Southeast Asian tenders cleared around USD452-470/tonne FOB.
US Gulf prices fell in the off-season, while Brazil's buying season approaches.
Reduced output from Egypt and Iran, together with approaching Brazilian demand, is likely to firm urea prices and raise nitrogen input costs for grain and feed producers.
在过去 205 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.1% 至 +3.0%),20 个交易日内为 -0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。