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India is expected to end July 2025 with about 2 million t of DAP in stock, up roughly 420,000 t from the start of the month. The build reflects imports of about 1.09 million t against expected domestic output of about 330,000 t and offtake of about 1 million t.
The government has urged importers not to buy above US$810/t cfr.
A larger Indian stock cushion and government pressure on import prices reduce urgency to buy, which could soften DAP prices. Import volumes also show Indian demand is being met for now.
在过去 40 次看跌的贸易事件之后,DAP 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(38% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.7% 至 +0.5%),20 个交易日内为 -2.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。