
Argentina's peso fell more than 4.4% on Thursday, the worst performer among emerging-market currencies. The currency lost more than 12% in July, its worst monthly decline since Milei devalued it after taking office in December 2023.
Demand for dollars rose just as agricultural export supply dried up.
Agricultural export dollar inflows are a key source of supply in Argentina; when they slow, the peso weakens and exporters may hold back sales, which can tighten global supply of soybean meal and oil and support prices.
在过去 44 次看涨的宏观事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(34% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +0.9%),20 个交易日内为 -2.9%。
在过去 28 次看涨的宏观事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.2%(32% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.1% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 -2.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。