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Pork retail prices averaged $4.922 per pound in June, the highest since March, and national direct hog prices averaged $76.34/cwt. Professor Ron Plain expects a fairly sharp decline in late summer hog prices as the farm-to-retail spread normalizes.
A narrow farm-to-retail spread and slaughter running below year-ago levels suggest packers must pressure farm prices lower later in summer, making hog prices bearish into fall.
nationalhogfarmer.comRon Plain2025年7月28日在过去 17 次看跌的宏观事件之后，生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.0%（35% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +0.8%），20 个交易日内为 -1.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
