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The US dollar weakened on Friday with the dollar index near 97.70 after core PCE rose 0.3% m/m in July and 2.9% y/y, in line with forecasts. Fed funds futures implied an 89% chance of a September 25bp cut, and Governor Waller publicly backed easing.
A weaker dollar and firmer rate-cut bets tend to support dollar-denominated commodity prices and can lift demand from non-US buyers, while the macro backdrop shapes broader commodity sentiment.
在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。