
The USGS river gage at Memphis, Tennessee, may fall to severe low levels for the fourth year in a row. The Mississippi has dropped below the zero reference point during harvest in eight of the last ten years, and the river has reached the National Weather Service's low stage five times.
Low river levels push barge freight rates up and widen local cash basis discounts, which lowers farm-gate prices for corn and soybeans in the affected Midwest and Gulf-linked catchments. Freight costs for grain moving to export positions rise as a result.
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 359 次看跌的物流事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 297 次看跌的物流事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。