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DTN analyst ShayLe Stewart examines whether feeder cattle prices can keep rising after the CDC reported a New World screwworm case in a person who had traveled abroad and entered Maryland. Feeder cattle and boxed beef prices have rallied sharply over the past eight months.
The analysis says the U.S. border with Mexico is unlikely to reopen soon.
A closed border keeps feeder supplies tight, which supports feeder cattle prices. The screwworm risk also raises the chance of a domestic cattle detection, which could move prices sharply in either direction.
dtnpf.comShayLe Stewart2025年8月27日在过去 122 次看涨的疫病事件之后，架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%（60% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.0% 至 +1.6%），20 个交易日内为 +2.0%。
在过去 148 次看涨的疫病事件之后，活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%（62% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.5% 至 +1.2%），20 个交易日内为 +1.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
