
USDA's August WASDE cut the 2025/26 US soybean crop to 4.3 billion bushels, down 43 million on lower harvested area, while yield rose to 53.6 bushels per acre. Ending stocks were cut to 290 million bushels and exports were reduced by 40 million.
Soybean meal was forecast at $280/short ton, down $10, and global oilseed output was trimmed.
A tighter US soybean balance sheet supports soybean complex prices, while the lower meal price forecast signals weak meal demand relative to supply.
在过去 747 次看涨的报告事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
在过去 399 次看跌的报告事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.4% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 -1.0%。
在过去 114 次中性的报告事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.4%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。