
Lean hog futures hit contract highs at CME on Friday after USDA's quarterly Hogs and Pigs report showed US hog inventory on September 1 at 74.5 million head, down 1.3% year over year, below analyst expectations. Analysts said the supply tightness could extend from December through May 2026, and US cattle inventories remain near multi-decade lows.
A smaller hog herd than expected tightens near-term pork supply, supporting hog prices and raising the cost of hog-based feed demand signals. Tight cattle supplies also keep beef and cattle prices firm, which can lift the appeal of alternative proteins.
在过去 100 次看涨的报告事件之后,生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 -0.4%。
在过去 268 次看涨的报告事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(58% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +1.4%),20 个交易日内为 +1.7%。
在过去 227 次看涨的报告事件之后,架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(57% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 +1.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。