
House and Senate Agriculture Committees plan to draft language this fall for a second farm bill, sometimes called Farm Bill 2.0, which could include a trade aid package. Some Washington lobbyists doubt it can pass in 2025 or even 2026, citing high costs and partisan disputes over nutrition spending.
Nutrition accounts for more than 80% of farm bill expenditures.
Uncertainty over farm bill passage affects expectations for future farm support and the size of government payments. Passage odds are low, so the near-term price impact is minimal.
在过去 1,623 次政策事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
在过去 1,905 次政策事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
在过去 1,019 次政策事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。