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ABARES' September crop report raised the Australian winter crop estimate to 62Mt, up 11% (6.4Mt) since June and 2% year on year. Big gains in South Australia (up 49%) and Victoria (up 14%) drove the revision, and WA yield estimates rose 15% to 23.9Mt.
Wheat is forecast at 33.8Mt, barley at 14.6Mt and canola at 6.4Mt.
Larger Australian supply in the 2025-26 season adds export competition for wheat, barley and canola products, which supports bearish price pressure in global feed markets.
farmonline.com.auGregor Heard2025年9月5日在过去 1,006 次看跌的报告事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（50% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.8%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
