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Dongfang Securities said China's pig industry is under dual pressure from weak prices and expected policy-driven capacity restrictions on leading producers. Fat hog prices are near 11 yuan/kg and piglets have fallen below 200 yuan/head, pushing the sector into comprehensive losses, with slaughter expected to stay high until early 2026.
Heavy slaughter and losses point to continued weak hog prices and lower near-term feed demand, while any policy-driven capacity cuts could support prices later.
longbridge.comZhitong2025年10月13日在过去 34 次看跌的政策事件之后，生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%（41% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.3%），20 个交易日内为 -1.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
