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Expana reports that the EU 2025/26 harvest was a record and global wheat supply is abundant, with demand not rising fast enough to absorb it. Russia and the US are competing strongly, and Algeria is shifting purchases toward Black Sea and other origins.
Abundant global supply and intense export competition keep pressure on wheat export prices, with limited demand growth to offset it.
在过去 375 次看跌的贸易事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.1%。
在过去 82 次看跌的贸易事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(48% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.8% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。