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USDA's December Hogs and Pigs report put the December 1 hog inventory at 75.5 million head, up 0.6% year over year and above expectations. The 180-pound-and-over class rose 2.8%, and the September to November pig crop was higher than expected at a record 11.93 pigs per litter.
The breeding herd fell 0.9%, the smallest December 1 breeding herd since 2014.
Heavier hog supplies arriving at packers in early 2026 add near-term downward pressure on hog prices. The small breeding herd limits longer-term supply growth, which keeps the outlook more balanced.
farmdocdaily.illinois.eduLee Bynum2025年12月29日在过去 159 次看跌的报告事件之后，生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%（47% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%），20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
