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USDA ERS cut its 2025 commercial pork production forecast by 25 million pounds to 27.5 billion pounds. Lower early-Q4 hog availability and disease problems in large producing states contributed.
Processors reported higher processing spreads heading into December.
Smaller pork supply supports hog and pork prices, although the fourth-quarter seasonal slaughter peak normally pressures prices. Lower production also reduces demand for feed in the near term.
nationalhogfarmer.comAnn Hess2025年12月18日在过去 100 次看涨的报告事件之后，生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%（49% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +2.0%），20 个交易日内为 -0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
