加载中…

CoBank's year-ahead outlook says US trade policy uncertainty has eased, with the effective tariff rate around 17% and actual average import tax near 10%. It expects animal protein demand to stay strong in 2026 despite higher meat and poultry prices, and it notes falling feed prices boosting producer optimism.
Strong protein demand and lower feed costs support livestock margins and herd retention, but lower feed prices reduce feed-grain demand support.
在过去 28 次看涨的宏观事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +0.9%),20 个交易日内为 +1.7%。
在过去 37 次宏观事件之后,生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%(46% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +2.4%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。