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USDA's December 9 WASDE raised its 2025-26 global wheat ending stocks forecast by 3.4 million tonnes to 274.9 million, the ninth-largest on record. Global production was lifted to 837.8 million tonnes, with higher crops in Canada and Argentina.
A larger global carryover confirms ample wheat supply, which limits upside in export prices. Analysts said most of the changes were already priced in, so the market effect was limited.
在过去 138 次看跌的报告事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.9% 至 +2.4%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
在过去 1,006 次看跌的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。