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Ajay Goyal, chairman of the Wheat Products Promotion Society, said India is heading for one of its biggest wheat surpluses, with a potential record 117 million tonne crop and government stocks likely above 50 million tonnes by June 1. He said this makes a review of the wheat export ban almost unavoidable next year.
Rabi sowing is reportedly 10-15 days early, with acreage seen up 3-4%.
A large Indian surplus and a possible easing of export curbs would add supply to world wheat markets and pressure international prices. Domestic procurement and private trade would also shift.
在过去 122 次看跌的政策事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。