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Oil prices have stayed in a narrow band despite a roughly 15% gain in January, with Brent above $70 a barrel, its highest since last July. Fears of a possible fresh U.S. strike on Iran have been a key support, while rising output from other producers, including key OPEC members, has capped gains.
Tehran has vowed to retaliate against any U.S. strike, including by hitting neighbouring states.
Rising Iran risk premium lifts energy costs for feed producers through diesel, natural gas and fertilizer inputs. Ample OPEC supply limits how far crude can rally without an actual supply disruption.
reuters.comRon Bousso2026年1月30日在过去 626 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +2.1%（62% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.3% 至 +8.5%），20 个交易日内为 +1.6%。
在过去 656 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.9%（63% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.7% 至 +6.6%），20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
