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Sources say China will keep its phosphate fertiliser export suspension in place through August 2026, despite the Middle East war, citing domestic food security priorities. Rising sulfur costs are expected to lift global phosphate production costs because the Middle East is a key sulfur producer.
Continued Chinese phosphate export absence removes a major supply source and, combined with higher sulfur costs, supports DAP and phosphate prices into the spring season.
spglobal.comLucas Toh, David Pillai2026年3月4日在过去 151 次看涨的政策事件之后，DAP 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（50% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.9%），20 个交易日内为 +1.9%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
