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Meteorologist Eric Snodgrass says La Niña is collapsing faster than he has seen in his career, with El Niño building and Pacific temperatures possibly 1.5°C above normal. Forecast models point to widespread summer rains across much of the US, though drought remains a concern in the Plains.
A rapid transition to El Niño could change US summer rainfall and Plains drought risk, which affects corn and soybean yield expectations. Mixed rainfall forecasts keep the price signal limited for now.
agweb.comTyne Morgan2026年3月2日在过去 445 次中性的天气事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%（52% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.6%），20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 324 次中性的天气事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（52% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
