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The RBI's efforts to steady the rupee are expected to become harder as weak capital inflows replace speculative bets as the main pressure. Economists have widened estimates of India's balance-of-payments deficit, with Kotak forecasting $50 billion this fiscal year, as the US-Iran war keeps oil elevated.
A widening external deficit and muted capital inflows sustain dollar demand in India, which points to a weaker rupee and higher costs for imported energy and goods.
business-standard.comBloomberg2026年4月30日历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 323 次看涨的宏观事件之后，原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.7%（58% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.9% 至 +3.7%），20 个交易日内为 +1.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
