The offshore yuan weakened to about 6.83 per dollar on April 20, its third straight session of losses and its lowest level in over a week. Safe-haven dollar demand rose after Iran seized two vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, while the US maintained a blockade on Iran-linked ships.
The PBoC fixed the midpoint 356 pips weaker than a Reuters estimate.
Renewed Hormuz tension lifts oil and freight costs and strengthens the dollar, which raises the cost of imported feed inputs for Asian buyers. A weaker yuan also makes Chinese purchases of dollar-priced commodities more expensive.
在过去 14 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,人民币(每 USD 的 CNY) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.0%(36% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.4% 至 +0.2%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 656 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.9%(63% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.7% 至 +6.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。