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The IEA's quarterly gas report says the Middle East crisis has removed close to 20% of global LNG supply from the market since March, with Strait of Hormuz shipping disrupted. Gas prices in Asia and Europe reached their highest since January 2023, and the expected wave of new LNG supply is being pushed back.
Losing a fifth of LNG supply tightens global gas balances and raises energy costs for fertilizer and feed processing, which supports nitrogen and energy-linked feed input prices.
在过去 136 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +2.7%(63% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 +8.8%),20 个交易日内为 +4.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。