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ICE canola futures reached 10-month highs in the week ended April 29, as crude oil rose about 16% amid little progress toward ending the Iran war and the Strait of Hormuz remained effectively closed. Chicago soyoil and canola each gained about 4%.
Crush margins in both the US and Canada are near record levels.
Higher crude raises biodiesel profitability, lifting soyoil and canola through the energy link. Prolonged Hormuz disruption keeps vegetable oil prices supported.
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 110 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.8%(65% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +3.6%),20 个交易日内为 -0.4%。
在过去 626 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +2.1%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.3% 至 +8.5%),20 个交易日内为 +1.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。