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OPEC+ is likely to agree a further output target increase of about 188,000 bpd, according to Reuters sources. The move follows the earlier 206,000 bpd hike and excludes the UAE, which leaves the group from May 1.
The UAE exit and a modest quota increase signal a looser cartel policy, which could cap crude prices once Hormuz flows resume. Feed-linked energy and biofuel costs may see slightly bearish pressure over time.
在过去 215 次看跌的政策事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.4% 至 +3.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
在过去 210 次看跌的政策事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.9%(48% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.8% 至 +3.2%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。