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OPEC+ agreed on April 5 to raise oil output quotas by 206,000 barrels per day for May. Key members cannot actually lift production because of the US-Israeli war with Iran and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
The quota increase is largely on paper and represents under 2% of the disrupted supply, so it does little to ease crude tightness while Hormuz remains shut. Crude and energy-linked feed costs stay supported by the disruption.
在过去 60 次中性的地缘政治事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.9%(43% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.7% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 -1.9%。
在过去 63 次中性的地缘政治事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.5%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.4% 至 +2.6%),20 个交易日内为 -2.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。