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The dollar dipped against most major currencies on Monday as traders assessed whether progress toward ending the Iran war was likely soon. Oil rose about 2% to a two-week high on supply worries, despite a report that the US would waive some Iranian crude sanctions.
Markets priced about a 51% chance of a Fed rate hike.
Oil-driven inflation fears keep Fed hike odds elevated, which supports the dollar and weighs on dollar-priced commodities. Swings in crude also move input and freight costs.
streetinsider.com2026年5月17日在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后，美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%（39% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%），20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 487 次看涨的宏观事件之后，原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.0%（60% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +4.0%），20 个交易日内为 +1.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
