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Indian government rice stocks in the central pool are near 40 million tonnes, a decade high, and wheat stocks are above buffer norms. Officials say the stocks can cover the public distribution system and an open market sale even if the monsoon reduces output.
Large state stocks reduce the likelihood of Indian rice supply shortages and make an export ban less probable. This limits upside for rice prices despite the weak monsoon outlook.
在过去 100 次看跌的政策事件之后,稻谷 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.1%。
在过去 122 次看跌的政策事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。