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Baking Business reports that El Niño is expected to bring more adverse weather to tropical regions for the rest of 2026, reducing rainfall there while increasing it in the mid-latitudes. The author argues that current media focus on a possible 'super' El Niño is overhyped and that North American impacts are unlikely before late in the year.
Tropical rainfall deficits could affect rice and other crops in Asia and Latin America, but the commentary's view that North American impacts are limited until late 2026 reduces near-term grain price pressure.
bakingbusiness.comDrew Lerner2026年5月29日在过去 179 次看涨的天气事件之后，稻谷 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%（55% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.5%），20 个交易日内为 +2.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
