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Profercy reports that China has begun issuing urea export quotas of roughly 1.5 to 1.6 million tonnes for June to August, with minimum FOB price floors of $660 per tonne for prilled and $670 for granular urea. Local Chinese prices are well below $300 per tonne FOB equivalent, and direct sales to India may be permitted at a $20 premium.
Chinese quota supply could add meaningful urea volume to a tight global market, though the high price floors may limit how much it eases international prices.
profercy.comKuganiga Kuganeswaran2026年5月26日在过去 34 次看跌的政策事件之后，尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.8%（38% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -3.3% 至 +1.8%），20 个交易日内为 -4.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
China reopening urea exports with quotas of about 1.5-1.6 mt for June-August signals a major supply return, which drove a sharp bearish repricing.
China issuing urea export quotas (1.5-1.6 Mt for June-August) reopens a large supply source after months of absence, a direct bearish supply shock for global urea prices.
