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Vietnam's 5% broken rice rose to $410-$415 per ton on El Niño worries, while Thai quotes climbed to $480-$500 and some buyers switched to cheaper Indian varieties priced around $337-$342. Concerns about hotter, drier conditions could trigger stockpiling.
Regional arbitrage toward Indian rice limits how far Asian export prices can rise, though El Niño risk keeps the near-term bias firm.
在过去 179 次看涨的天气事件之后,稻谷 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.5%),20 个交易日内为 +2.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。