
Wheat futures rallied on June 30 after USDA's NASS Acreage report showed all wheat planted at 42.74 million acres, well below trade estimates and 1.035 million below March intentions. Quarterly stocks of 920 million bushels on June 1 came in below the 931 million estimate, and winter wheat harvest was 48% complete.
Acreage and stocks below expectations tighten the US wheat balance sheet, giving feed wheat and wheat-based feed costs upward pressure. The rally reflects a report surprise rather than a new supply shock.
在过去 180 次看涨的报告事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.1% 至 +3.7%),20 个交易日内为 -0.6%。
在过去 769 次看涨的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。