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Rystad Energy said OPEC+'s June 7 decision to add 188,000 bpd will have little immediate effect while the Strait of Hormuz is closed. Russia's new quota of about 9.82 million bpd exceeds its estimated May output of about 9.2 million bpd due to drone attacks and capacity declines.
Rystad warned that a full Hormuz reopening could create a surplus of up to 5 million bpd.
Physical supply, not quota changes, is driving prices, so the increase has little effect on crude costs for feed buyers. A sudden reopening of Hormuz could sharply lower energy prices later.
petromindo.com2026年6月8日在过去 187 次中性的政策事件之后，原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%（49% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -4.0% 至 +3.5%），20 个交易日内为 +0.1%。
在过去 175 次中性的政策事件之后，原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.9%（45% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -3.6% 至 +3.0%），20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
