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August gold fell despite a weaker dollar as traders weighed hawkish Fed repricing against US-Iran talks. Money markets priced about 32bp of tightening and favored a hike in October.
Copper also slipped on the stronger dollar and hawkish repricing.
Expectations of a hike by October keep the dollar supported and pressure dollar-priced commodities. Feed buyers should watch the June payrolls data, which could shift the rate outlook further.
在过去 2,356 次看涨的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。