
Chicago wheat rose roughly 16% in July, reaching its highest level since 2024 on July 22 before easing as traders took profits. The rally is attributed to Russia-Ukraine attacks spilling into Black Sea shipping lanes, a 4% cut to Russian export forecasts by SovEcon, and a smallest-in-61-years US winter wheat crop due to Southern Plains drought.
Disrupted Black Sea exports and a small US HRW crop tighten global wheat supplies, supporting higher wheat prices and spillover interest in feed grains.
在过去 361 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.7%(58% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +3.7%),20 个交易日内为 +1.3%。
在过去 323 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(57% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +2.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 94 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.7% 至 +5.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。