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Rabobank says Australia's winter crop outlook has improved after timely rain, moving from below-average to a potentially average season. National wheat production is estimated at 27 to 30 million tonnes, with caution about El Niño-linked spring dryness.
Improved yield prospects reduce the chance of a supply shortfall, which weighs on wheat prices. The El Niño risk limits how far that pressure can go.
在过去 334 次看跌的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。