
The USDA will begin reopening southern ports to Mexican cattle on August 24, starting with Douglas, Arizona, and will prepare to reopen the Santa Teresa and Columbus, New Mexico ports later. Sonora and Chihuahua are rated the lowest-risk Mexican states, and the nearest active case was about 325 miles from Douglas as of July 22.
The reopening depends on the first phase succeeding.
Imports from low-risk states restore feeder supply gradually, which limits how much cattle prices fall while keeping a bearish tilt. Any screwworm detection could reverse the move.
在过去 87 次看跌的贸易事件之后,架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.2% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +1.1%。
在过去 121 次看跌的贸易事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(40% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +0.8%),20 个交易日内为 -0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。