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The USDA is reopening the border to Mexican cattle in a phased plan starting August 24 at Douglas, Arizona, with up to 80,000 head per month expected eventually. Live and feeder cattle futures fell sharply after the announcement.
The ban had contributed to record-high beef prices.
Futures reacted immediately to the expected rise in feeder supply, showing the bearish price mechanism. The pace of the phased reopening will determine how much pressure persists.
在过去 87 次看跌的贸易事件之后,架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.2% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +1.1%。
在过去 121 次看跌的贸易事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(40% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +0.8%),20 个交易日内为 -0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。