
The USDA's July WASDE lowered US 2026-27 wheat production to 1.536 billion bushels, the smallest crop since 1970-71, and cut world wheat ending stocks to 272.84 million tonnes. It also lowered US 2026-27 corn ending stocks to 1.79 billion bushels, below analyst expectations.
Wheat futures rose about 3% ahead of the report on Sea of Azov shipping disruption from the Russia-Ukraine war.
A sharply smaller US wheat crop and tighter world stocks support wheat and corn prices, and the Azov disruption adds a geopolitical premium. Buyers of feed grains should expect firmer prices through the rest of the season.
在过去 769 次看涨的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
在过去 180 次看涨的报告事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.1% 至 +3.7%),20 个交易日内为 -0.6%。
在过去 1,040 次看涨的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
USDA lowered US wheat production to the smallest since 1970 and cut world ending stocks, a supply shock that supported the rally.