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Gold pared early gains of as much as 2.2% after the Fed held rates at 3.5% to 3.75% in a 9-3 vote, with three officials dissenting in favor of a hike. Treasury yields and the dollar fell after the decision.
Brent crude rose above $90 on renewed US-Iran hostilities, and swap traders put the September hike odds below 60%.
Higher oil and inflation pressure push up expectations of tighter policy, which tends to support the dollar and weigh on commodities. Gold's gains are fragile if oil keeps rising.
在过去 323 次看涨的宏观事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.7%(58% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.9% 至 +3.7%),20 个交易日内为 +1.3%。
在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。