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Plantation analysts say El Niño's effect on Malaysian palm output will likely lag, with 2026 volumes holding and the supply hit arriving in 2027. Indonesia's B50 mandate would absorb about 35% of its own crude palm oil.
Higher prices are expected to benefit upstream producers while raising costs for downstream refiners.
Expected tighter supply and B50 demand in 2027 point to higher crude palm oil prices, with refiners facing higher feedstock costs.
thestar.com.myDANIEL KHOO2026年8月25日在过去 181 次看涨的天气事件之后，棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%（56% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +1.9%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
